Research / Overview
DEMO MODE
DEMO · synthetic illustrative candles
MONDAY, MARKET NOTE

Research before risk.

Explore a market with a transparent, reproducible workflow.

LAST PRICE ◉
—
Load candles to begin
30D VOLATILITY ⌁
—
Annualized, historical
MARKET REGIME ◌
—
Based on moving averages
RISK / TRADE ◈
$10.00
1% of $1,000 default capital

Price history

Synthetic demo series · daily bars

Close

Research checklist

Keep evidence and assumptions in view.

01Describe the hypothesisDefine why the pattern might persist.↗
02Test with realistic costsFees and slippage are included in backtests.↗
03Inspect risk of ruinReview drawdowns and path variability.↗
A NOTE ON EVIDENCE

Results describe the data you tested.

Backtests are historical simulations. Demo candles are synthetic. Neither predicts future returns or guarantees an edge.

01 / DESIGN

Strategy generation

Turn a market hypothesis into rules you can test.

⌁

Build a rule set

Ideas are rule templates, not claims of profitability. They use available candle history and current regime.

02 / VALIDATE

Historical backtest

EMA crossover baseline with position sizing, fees, and slippage.

Strategy equity

Historical simulation · costs applied on entry and exit

Equity
▥

No backtest run yet

Run the baseline after loading data. Results are illustrative while in demo mode.

03 / SIZE THE RISK

Risk / reward analysis

Position size follows the distance between entry and stop.

Enter prices or use the latest market close.
04 / CONTEXT

Market regime

Trend, realized volatility, and relative volume from loaded bars.

Load data to calculate the current regime.
05 / RANK

Multi-factor research

Momentum, trend, low volatility, and an optional value input.

The factor blend uses fixed, visible weights; a score is not a forecast.
06 / STRESS TEST

Strategy optimization

Compare EMA windows in-sample. Selection can overfit.

A small grid compares several fast/slow windows on the same historical sample.
07 / ALLOCATE

Portfolio construction

Simple volatility-weighted allocation for the selected asset.

A true diversified portfolio needs synchronized history for multiple assets. This single-asset worksheet shows sizing mechanics only.

No allocation calculated.
08 / PLAN

Trade setup worksheet

Rule-based levels from recent volatility; not a trade recommendation.

Uses the latest close and ATR-style range to draft a stop and target.
09 / PATH RISK

Monte Carlo simulation

Resample historical strategy trades to inspect outcome variability.

Run a backtest first. The simulation resamples its observed trade returns; it does not model every real-world risk.
10 / RECOVERY

Drawdown analysis

Measure peak-to-trough losses and recovery times.

Run a backtest to inspect its drawdown profile.
11 / ECONOMIC CONTEXT

Macro research

Use published US rates, inflation, and production series where configured.

Macro data is opt-in

Configure a FRED API key on the server to fetch DGS10, CPIAUCSL, and INDPRO. Without it, the app will say data is unavailable instead of inventing values.

12 / FIND A HYPOTHESIS

Alpha hypotheses

Look for testable patterns and account for multiple comparisons.

This scan reports simple historical behavior and robustness checks; it cannot prove market inefficiency.

API keys stay on the server. Configure Finnhub and FRED in private/config.php or your hosting environment. This panel never asks for or stores secrets.

Checking server configuration…